Botola Pro (Morocco), round 3 · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Al Medina Stadium
Union Touarga Sport — RS Berkane
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In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, RS Berkane to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.
RS Berkane are clear favourites: 44% against 24% for the opponent, draw 31%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings RS Berkane are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Union Touarga Sport — RS Berkane What is xG? | 0.9–1.3 | |
| Union Touarga Sport not to lose | 56% | |
| RS Berkane not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Union Touarga Sport
- Union Touarga Sport goals
- RS Berkane goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 02.10away · Widad Temara1:0
- 26.09FUS Rabat2:1
- 05.07away · Wydad Casablanca2:1
- 02.07Ittihad Tanger1:0
- 28.06away · FAR Rabat2:2
- 27.09away · MAT Tetouan0:0
- 05.07away · Difaâ El Jadida3:1
- 02.07Wydad Casablanca2:0
- 28.06away · FUS Rabat1:2
- 25.06FAR Rabat2:2
Head to head
- 07.05.2026RS Berkane — Union Touarga Sport4:3
- 05.10.2025Union Touarga Sport — RS Berkane2:2
- 16.03.2025RS Berkane — Union Touarga Sport1:1
- 10.11.2024Union Touarga Sport — RS Berkane0:1
- 14.02.2024RS Berkane — Union Touarga Sport0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, CAF Champions League | MAS Fès | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 3, CAF Confederation Cup | Union Touarga Sport | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | KACM | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Widad Temara | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | RS Berkane | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | MAT Tetouan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Next matches
- RS BerkaneRenaissance Club Zemamra13 October · Botola Pro6225131The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.3
- CODM MeknèsUnion Touarga Sport17 October · Botola Pro343234XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
Botola Pro on the same day
- 5825161The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.5
- 4230281The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 403326XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:0, exactly right.1.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →