Botola Pro (Morocco), round 4 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

CODM Meknès — Union Touarga Sport

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Model prediction for 17 October

CODM Meknès34%
Draw32%
Union Touarga Sport34%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: CODM Meknès 34%, Union Touarga Sport 34%, draw 32%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CODM Meknès — Union Touarga Sport What is xG?1.1–1.1
CODM Meknès not to lose66%
Union Touarga Sport not to lose66%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.537%
Total under 2.563%

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  • Handicap CODM Meknès
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Form

CODM Meknès

  • 11.10away · Wydad Casablanca0:0
  • 03.10KACM0:1
  • 26.09away · Difaâ El Jadida6:2
  • 05.07away · Ittihad Tanger1:2
  • 02.07FAR Rabat3:2

Union Touarga Sport

  • 08.10RS Berkane0:0
  • 02.10away · Widad Temara1:0
  • 26.09FUS Rabat2:1
  • 05.07away · Wydad Casablanca2:1
  • 02.07Ittihad Tanger1:0

Head to head

  • 17.06.2026Union Touarga Sport — CODM Meknès2:0
  • 31.01.2026CODM Meknès — Union Touarga Sport1:1
  • 14.02.2025CODM Meknès — Union Touarga Sport0:0
  • 19.10.2024Union Touarga Sport — CODM Meknès0:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, CAF Champions LeagueMAS Fès32104–2+27
3, CAF Confederation CupUnion Touarga Sport32103–1+27
4KACM32015–4+16
5Raja Casablanca31202–1+15
6CODM Meknès31116–3+34
7Ittihad Tanger31115–4+14

Season 2026/27

Full table

Botola Pro on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 34% will not happen in roughly 66 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →