Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Universidad Católica (ECU) — Aucas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Universidad Católica (ECU) are clear favourites: 56% against 19% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universidad Católica (ECU) are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Aucas: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Universidad Católica (ECU) 2 wins, Aucas 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universidad Católica (ECU) — Aucas What is xG? | 1.7–0.9 | |
| Universidad Católica (ECU) not to lose | 81% | |
| Aucas not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Universidad Católica (ECU)
- Universidad Católica (ECU) goals
- Aucas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10CSD Macará0:1
- 21.09away · LDU de Quito1:2
- 15.09Orense2:1
- 07.09away · Delfín1:0
- 03.09Aucas1:1
- 10.10away · Independiente del Valle1:2
- 19.09CSD Macará1:2
- 12.09away · Manta0:0
- 07.09Barcelona SC1:1
- 03.09away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:1
Head to head
- 03.09.2026Universidad Católica (ECU) — Aucas1:1
- 10.05.2026Aucas — Universidad Católica (ECU)2:1
- 03.08.2025Universidad Católica (ECU) — Aucas6:2
- 16.04.2025Aucas — Universidad Católica (ECU)2:1
- 09.11.2024Universidad Católica (ECU) — Aucas3:2
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- Independiente del ValleLDU de Quitopreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- CSD MacaráBarcelona SCpreliminary4629241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Guayaquil CityLibertad (ECU)preliminary3729341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- EmelecLeones del Nortepreliminary4031291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- DelfínDeportivo Cuencapreliminary383230XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- OrenseTécnico Universitariopreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Mushuc RunaMantapreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →