Chilean Liga de Primera, round 25 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Universidad de Concepción — Deportes Limache
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Deportes Limache are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportes Limache are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Universidad de Concepción — No. 15, 23 pts; Deportes Limache — No. 6, 34 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Universidad de Concepción: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universidad de Concepción — Deportes Limache What is xG? | 1.1–1.6 | |
| Universidad de Concepción not to lose | 54% | |
| Deportes Limache not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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- Handicap Universidad de Concepción
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- Deportes Limache goals
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Form
- 10.10away · Cobresal1:1
- 03.10Huachipato0:2
- 07.09away · Palestino1:2
- 03.09away · Coquimbo Unido0:1
- 30.08Universidad de Chile2:1
- 12.10Palestino2:2
- 15.09away · Unión La Calera0:1
- 08.09Cobresal3:0
- 03.09Ñublense2:0
- 30.08Everton CD0:3
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Deportes Limache — Universidad de Concepción3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | -10 | 25 |
| 15, Relegation | Universidad de Concepción | 24 | 6 | -22 | 23 |
| 16, Relegation | Unión La Calera | 24 | 4 | -21 | 18 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →