Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Universitario de Deportes — ADC Juan Pablo II
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Universitario de Deportes are clear favourites: 76% against 9% for the opponent, draw 15%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universitario de Deportes are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- ADC Juan Pablo II: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 3 meetings: Universitario de Deportes 2 wins, ADC Juan Pablo II 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universitario de Deportes — ADC Juan Pablo II What is xG? | 2.4–0.8 | |
| Universitario de Deportes not to lose | 91% | |
| ADC Juan Pablo II not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Universitario de Deportes
- Universitario de Deportes goals
- ADC Juan Pablo II goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10FBC Melgar2:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo Garcilaso0:4
- 13.09away · Alianza Lima2:1
- 06.09Comerciantes Unidos2:2
- 29.08away · CD UT Cajamarca4:2
- 10.10away · Comerciantes Unidos1:1
- 20.09Club Deportivo Moquegua4:0
- 11.09away · CD UT Cajamarca2:1
- 06.09Alianza Lima1:1
- 29.08away · Los Chankas4:3
Head to head
- 03.05.2026ADC Juan Pablo II — Universitario de Deportes1:4
- 06.10.2025Universitario de Deportes — ADC Juan Pablo II3:0
- 18.05.2025ADC Juan Pablo II — Universitario de Deportes2:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Comerciantes UnidosCiencianopreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Club Deportivo MoqueguaAlianza Limapreliminary1727562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2
- Sport BoysFC Cajamarcapreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →