Norwegian Eliteserien, round 25 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Vålerenga — Tromsø
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tromsø are slightly stronger: 40% against 33%, draw 27%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tromsø are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vålerenga — Tromsø What is xG? | 1.5–1.7 | |
| Vålerenga not to lose | 60% | |
| Tromsø not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Vålerenga
- Vålerenga goals
- Tromsø goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · KFUM1:2
- 20.09Fredrikstad1:1
- 12.09away · Lillestrøm0:2
- 06.09away · Sarpsborg 082:2
- 30.08Molde3:4
- 11.10away · Fredrikstad1:1
- 20.09Hamarkameratene3:2
- 12.09away · Rosenborg3:5
- 06.09away · Kristiansund0:2
- 30.08Sarpsborg 080:0
Head to head
- 11.07.2026Tromsø — Vålerenga4:0
- 04.10.2025Vålerenga — Tromsø1:0
- 31.05.2025Tromsø — Vålerenga2:1
- 03.12.2023Vålerenga — Tromsø1:1
- 09.07.2023Tromsø — Vålerenga0:0
Table
Eliteserien on the same day
- BrannMoldepreliminary4127331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- KFUMHamarkameratenepreliminary4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Sarpsborg 08Kristiansundpreliminary6520141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- StartLillestrømpreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →