Norwegian Eliteserien, round 25 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Brann — Molde

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Model prediction for 1 November

Brann41%
Draw27%
Molde33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brann are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 27%.

3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 69%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Brann are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brann — Molde What is xG?1.8–1.6
Brann not to lose67%
Molde not to lose59%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes69%
Both teams to score: no31%
Total over 2.565%
Total under 2.535%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Brann
  • Brann goals
  • Molde goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Brann

  • 09.10Viking0:2
  • 20.09Bodø/Glimt2:1
  • 13.09away · Start0:2
  • 05.09Lillestrøm1:2
  • 30.08away · Sandefjord0:0

Molde

  • 11.10away · Lillestrøm2:2
  • 19.09Aalesund1:2
  • 13.09away · Hamarkameratene5:1
  • 06.09KFUM2:0
  • 30.08away · Vålerenga4:3

Head to head

  • 18.07.2026Molde — Brann1:2
  • 22.11.2025Molde — Brann4:0
  • 29.05.2025Brann — Molde0:3
  • 23.11.2024Molde — Brann2:1
  • 26.05.2024Brann — Molde1:3

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueTromsø22116541–30+1139
4, Europa League or Conference LeagueMolde22114746–34+1237
5Rosenborg22104840–31+934
6Lillestrøm22103930–31-133
7Brann22921139–34+529
8Fredrikstad2285926–33-729

Season 2026

Full table

Eliteserien on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
  • StartLillestrømpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →