Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Vila Nova — Juventude
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vila Nova are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 1.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vila Nova — Juventude What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| Vila Nova not to lose | 70% | |
| Juventude not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 28% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 72% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Náutico2:0
- 08.10Cuiabá0:0
- 04.10away · Botafogo SP1:0
- 26.09Londrina2:0
- 19.09América-MG1:0
- 11.10São Bernardo2:2
- 07.10away · Ponte Preta2:0
- 03.10Operário-PR3:0
- 29.09away · América-MG1:0
- 19.09away · Sport Recife1:2
Head to head
- 11.07.2026Juventude — Vila Nova1:0
- 08.08.2023Juventude — Vila Nova0:2
- 01.05.2023Vila Nova — Juventude1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | +15 | 61 |
| 2, Promotion | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | +31 | 60 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Juventude | 33 | 17 | +18 | 60 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Fortaleza | 33 | 15 | +10 | 57 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- NáuticoAvaípreliminary4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- LondrinaAmérica-MGpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →