J1 League (Japan), round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Vissel Kobe — Nagoya Grampus
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vissel Kobe are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vissel Kobe are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vissel Kobe — Nagoya Grampus What is xG? | 1.7–1.0 | |
| Vissel Kobe not to lose | 80% | |
| Nagoya Grampus not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Vissel Kobe goals
- Nagoya Grampus goals
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Form
- 09.10away · Kashiwa Reysol2:4
- 20.09away · Gamba Osaka1:0
- 11.09Kashima Antlers2:1
- 06.09V-Varen Nagasaki3:1
- 02.09away · Tokyo Verdy2:0
- 11.10away · Kawasaki Frontale2:1
- 19.09away · FC Tokyo0:1
- 12.09away · V-Varen Nagasaki0:2
- 06.09Machida Zelvia1:3
- 02.09away · Sanfrecce Hiroshima0:3
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Vissel Kobe — Nagoya Grampus3:2
- 14.03.2026Nagoya Grampus — Vissel Kobe0:3
- 15.06.2025Vissel Kobe — Nagoya Grampus2:1
- 22.02.2025Nagoya Grampus — Vissel Kobe2:2
- 20.07.2024Vissel Kobe — Nagoya Grampus3:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 9 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
J1 League on the same day
- Kyoto Sanga FCShimizu S-Pulsepreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Mito HollyhockSanfrecce Hiroshimapreliminary1322652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- Fagiano Okayama FCFC Tokyopreliminary3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- Kashima AntlersCerezo Osakapreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Kashiwa ReysolUrawa Red Diamondspreliminary4926241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →