Belgian Pro League, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Westerlo — SK Beveren
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Westerlo are clear favourites: 69% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Westerlo are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Westerlo — SK Beveren What is xG? | 2.4–1.0 | |
| Westerlo not to lose | 88% | |
| SK Beveren not to lose | 31% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Westerlo
- Westerlo goals
- SK Beveren goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Royal Antwerp5:1
- 20.09away · St.Truiden2:0
- 12.09Standard Liège4:2
- 05.09away · KV Mechelen4:0
- 30.08Zulte Waregem2:2
- 09.10Lommel1:3
- 20.09away · Kortrijk0:1
- 12.09St.Truiden2:0
- 06.09OH Leuven3:0
- 28.08away · Genk0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 | Lommel | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | St.Truiden | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- Royal AntwerpSporting Charleroipreliminary3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- OH LeuvenLommelpreliminary4029301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- RAAL La LouvièreZulte Waregempreliminary3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →