Polish Ekstraklasa, round 12 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Widzew Łódź — Górnik Zabrze
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Widzew Łódź 34%, Górnik Zabrze 35%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Górnik Zabrze are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Widzew Łódź — No. 13, 9 pts; Górnik Zabrze — No. 1, 25 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Widzew Łódź: winless in 5; Górnik Zabrze: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Widzew Łódź 1 win, Górnik Zabrze 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Widzew Łódź — Górnik Zabrze What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| Widzew Łódź not to lose | 65% | |
| Górnik Zabrze not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Widzew Łódź
- Widzew Łódź goals
- Górnik Zabrze goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Piast Gliwice1:2
- 18.09Wieczysta Kraków2:2
- 13.09away · Legia Warszawa1:1
- 05.09Radomiak Radom0:0
- 30.08Lech Poznań2:3
- 10.10away · Jagiellonia Białystok3:1
- 19.09away · Motor Lublin0:0
- 15.09away · Korona Kielce2:0
- 12.09Lech Poznań2:1
- 06.09away · Cracovia1:0
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Widzew Łódź — Górnik Zabrze0:0
- 21.09.2025Górnik Zabrze — Widzew Łódź3:2
- 27.04.2025Górnik Zabrze — Widzew Łódź0:0
- 27.10.2024Widzew Łódź — Górnik Zabrze0:2
- 25.02.2024Widzew Łódź — Górnik Zabrze3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Górnik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | +10 | 25 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | +13 | 22 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Motor LublinZagłębie Lubinpreliminary4829231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →