Polish Ekstraklasa, round 10 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Wieczysta Kraków — Wisła Płock
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3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Wieczysta Kraków to win (43%), came true.
Wieczysta Kraków are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wieczysta Kraków — Wisła Płock What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| Wieczysta Kraków not to lose | 71% | |
| Wisła Płock not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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Form
- 18.09away · Widzew Łódź2:2
- 13.09away · Pogoń Szczecin0:2
- 07.09Zagłębie Lubin1:1
- 29.08away · Wisła Kraków0:2
- 21.08away · Cracovia2:3
- 20.09away · Zagłębie Lubin2:0
- 13.09Cracovia3:1
- 07.09away · Pogoń Szczecin1:1
- 28.08Korona Kielce0:2
- 23.08away · GKS Katowice0:5
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | -14 | 8 |
Next matches
- GKS KatowiceWieczysta Kraków12 October · Ekstraklasa4527271The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:1, exactly right.3.5
- Wisła PłockRadomiak Radom19 October · Ekstraklasa4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- 4726271The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.3.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →