Polish Ekstraklasa, round 11 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Wisła Płock — Radomiak Radom
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Wisła Płock are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Wisła Płock are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Wisła Płock — No. 12, 11 pts; Radomiak Radom — No. 16, 8 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Radomiak Radom: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Wisła Płock 0 wins, Radomiak Radom 2, 3 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Wisła Płock 10, Radomiak Radom 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wisła Płock — Radomiak Radom What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Wisła Płock not to lose | 80% | |
| Radomiak Radom not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Radomiak Radom goals
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Form
- 09.10away · Wieczysta Kraków0:3
- 20.09away · Zagłębie Lubin2:0
- 13.09Cracovia3:1
- 07.09away · Pogoń Szczecin1:1
- 28.08Korona Kielce0:2
- 12.10Motor Lublin2:3
- 20.09away · Lech Poznań1:5
- 14.09Piast Gliwice0:2
- 05.09away · Widzew Łódź0:0
- 29.08Cracovia2:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Wisła Płock — Radomiak Radom0:1
- 27.10.2025Radomiak Radom — Wisła Płock1:1
- 02.04.2023Wisła Płock — Radomiak Radom1:1
- 10.09.2022Radomiak Radom — Wisła Płock2:0
- 07.02.2022Radomiak Radom — Wisła Płock1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | -14 | 8 |
| 17, Relegation | Śląsk Wrocław | 10 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →