Austrian Bundesliga, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Wolfsberger AC — WSG Tirol
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In short
Wolfsberger AC are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Wolfsberger AC — No. 12, 5 pts; WSG Tirol — No. 9, 8 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Wolfsberger AC: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Wolfsberger AC 1 win, WSG Tirol 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wolfsberger AC — WSG Tirol What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Wolfsberger AC not to lose | 69% | |
| WSG Tirol not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wolfsberger AC
- Wolfsberger AC goals
- WSG Tirol goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Altach0:3
- 20.09away · Ried1:4
- 12.09Rapid Wien0:3
- 01.09LASK1:3
- 29.08away · Grazer AK0:0
- 10.10Ried1:2
- 18.09away · Rapid Wien0:3
- 13.09Hartberg2:2
- 02.09away · Austria Wien1:0
- 28.08away · Austria Lustenau4:0
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Wolfsberger AC — WSG Tirol2:0
- 04.04.2026WSG Tirol — Wolfsberger AC3:1
- 02.11.2025Wolfsberger AC — WSG Tirol0:0
- 31.08.2025WSG Tirol — Wolfsberger AC1:1
- 22.02.2025WSG Tirol — Wolfsberger AC3:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Relegation round | Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 9, Relegation round | WSG Tirol | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Austria Wien | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Altach | 8 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 12, Relegation round | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | -9 | 5 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- 731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- 6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →