EFL Championship, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Wrexham — Preston North End
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Wrexham are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Wrexham are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wrexham — Preston North End What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Wrexham not to lose | 79% | |
| Preston North End not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wrexham
- Wrexham goals
- Preston North End goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10West Bromwich Albion1:2
- 10.10away · Derby County1:1
- 19.09Southampton2:1
- 11.09away · West Ham United0:6
- 08.09Burnley1:1
- 13.10away · Birmingham City0:4
- 10.10Millwall0:1
- 19.09away · Queens Park Rangers2:2
- 12.09Lincoln City0:1
- 08.09away · Watford1:2
Head to head
- 29.12.2025Wrexham — Preston North End2:1
- 06.12.2025Preston North End — Wrexham1:1
- 26.08.2025Preston North End — Wrexham2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 23, Relegation | Derby County | 9 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 24, Relegation | Preston North End | 10 | 1 | -12 | 4 |
Championship on the same day
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- 4729251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →