Swiss Super League, round 11 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Young Boys — St. Gallen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Young Boys are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.4.
Over 2.5 goals — 75%, both teams to score — 76%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Young Boys are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Young Boys — St. Gallen What is xG? | 2.1–1.8 | |
| Young Boys not to lose | 71% | |
| St. Gallen not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 24% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 75% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 25% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Grasshopper2:0
- 19.09Servette3:2
- 12.09away · Lugano2:2
- 05.09Luzern3:3
- 01.09away · FC Zürich4:2
- 11.10Lausanne1:0
- 20.09away · Basel3:1
- 16.09away · Lugano1:4
- 12.09Sion0:3
- 06.09away · Servette2:0
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Young Boys — St. Gallen1:2
- 11.02.2026St. Gallen — Young Boys2:1
- 09.11.2025St. Gallen — Young Boys1:4
- 19.10.2025Young Boys — St. Gallen1:2
- 29.03.2025Young Boys — St. Gallen1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Lugano | 10 | 9 | +24 | 28 |
| 2, Championship round | Young Boys | 10 | 6 | +15 | 22 |
| 3, Championship round | Sion | 10 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 4, Championship round | St. Gallen | 10 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 5, Championship round | FC Zürich | 10 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
Swiss Super League on the same day
- ServetteFC Vaduzpreliminary4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- FC ZürichLuzernpreliminary2727462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →