Swiss Super League, round 11 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
FC Zürich — Luzern
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Luzern are slightly stronger: 46% against 27%, draw 27%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 71%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Luzern are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Zürich — Luzern What is xG? | 1.6–2.0 | |
| FC Zürich not to lose | 54% | |
| Luzern not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 29% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Zürich
- FC Zürich goals
- Luzern goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Thun4:2
- 19.09away · Sion1:1
- 13.09FC Vaduz2:1
- 05.09away · Grasshopper2:2
- 01.09Young Boys2:4
- 10.10away · Lugano0:4
- 19.09Grasshopper5:1
- 13.09Basel2:4
- 05.09away · Young Boys3:3
- 02.09FC Vaduz2:1
Head to head
- 12.05.2026Luzern — FC Zürich1:0
- 14.02.2026FC Zürich — Luzern1:4
- 08.11.2025FC Zürich — Luzern3:2
- 03.08.2025Luzern — FC Zürich1:1
- 15.03.2025FC Zürich — Luzern3:2
Table
Swiss Super League on the same day
- ServetteFC Vaduzpreliminary4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- Young BoysSt. Gallenpreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →