Egyptian Premier League, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Cairo International Stadium
Zamalek SC — Al Ahly SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Al Ahly SC to win (42%), came true.
Al Ahly SC are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Ahly SC are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Zamalek SC: 4 wins in a row; Al Ahly SC: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Zamalek SC 1 win, Al Ahly SC 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zamalek SC — Al Ahly SC What is xG? | 1.2–1.5 | |
| Zamalek SC not to lose | 58% | |
| Al Ahly SC not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- Handicap Zamalek SC
- Zamalek SC goals
- Al Ahly SC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 16.09away · Ghazl Al Mahalla1:0
- 08.09Abo Qir Semad2:0
- 31.08Petrojet-Suez2:1
- 26.08away · National Bank3:0
- 21.08Al Ittihad Alexandria0:0
- 15.09Abo Qir Semad2:0
- 09.09away · Al Mokawloon Al Arab1:1
- 03.09Smouha SC1:0
- 28.08away · ZED FC2:0
- 23.08Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI3:2
Head to head
- 01.05.2026Zamalek SC — Al Ahly SC0:3
- 29.09.2025Al Ahly SC — Zamalek SC2:1
- 11.03.2025Zamalek SC — Al Ahly SC3:0
- 22.02.2025Al Ahly SC — Zamalek SC1:1
- 25.06.2024Al Ahly SC — Zamalek SC2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ahly SC | 6 | 5 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 6 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Modern Sport FC | 6 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
Next matches
- Asyut PetroleumZamalek SC20 October · Egyptian Premier League2130492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.0
- Al Ahly SCOlympic El Qanah FC21 October · Egyptian Premier League · preliminary801461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- 2731422The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →