Ukrainian Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Zorya — Chornomorets Odesa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Zorya are clear favourites: 60% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zorya are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zorya — Chornomorets Odesa What is xG? | 1.6–0.7 | |
| Zorya not to lose | 85% | |
| Chornomorets Odesa not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zorya
- Zorya goals
- Chornomorets Odesa goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Liviy Bereh3:1
- 19.09Dynamo Kyiv0:2
- 13.09away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi1:1
- 06.09away · Veres Rivne1:1
- 31.08FC Kharkiv0:3
- 10.10FC Kharkiv1:2
- 18.09Obolon Kyiv1:1
- 14.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:2
- 04.09Liviy Bereh0:0
- 30.08Kryvbas1:0
Head to head
- 14.12.2024Zorya — Chornomorets Odesa2:1
- 10.08.2024Chornomorets Odesa — Zorya0:1
- 14.04.2024Zorya — Chornomorets Odesa1:0
- 30.09.2023Chornomorets Odesa — Zorya0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 6 | Zorya | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Kryvbas | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Chornomorets Odesa | 7 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
| 15, Relegation | Obolon Kyiv | 7 | 0 | -10 | 4 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 2731422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.1
- 781661The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →