Belgian Pro League, round 10 · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Zulte Waregem — Club Brugge

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Model prediction for 30 October

Zulte Waregem11%
Draw21%
Club Brugge67%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Club Brugge are clear favourites: 67% against 11% for the opponent, draw 21%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 59%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Club Brugge are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Zulte Waregem — No. 8, 11 pts; Club Brugge — No. 2, 21 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Zulte Waregem: 3 defeats in a row; Club Brugge: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Zulte Waregem 0 wins, Club Brugge 4, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zulte Waregem — Club Brugge What is xG?1.0–2.2
Zulte Waregem not to lose33%
Club Brugge not to lose89%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes59%
Both teams to score: no41%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Zulte Waregem
  • Zulte Waregem goals
  • Club Brugge goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Zulte Waregem

  • 10.10Gent0:2
  • 19.09away · Anderlecht0:3
  • 13.09Sporting Charleroi0:1
  • 06.09away · Kortrijk2:0
  • 30.08away · Westerlo2:2

Club Brugge

  • 13.10away · Inter4:3
  • 10.10away · RAAL La Louvière4:1
  • 20.09Genk3:0
  • 13.09Royal Antwerp3:1
  • 08.09Aston Villa2:3

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Club Brugge — Zulte Waregem4:3
  • 16.08.2025Zulte Waregem — Club Brugge0:1
  • 29.01.2023Zulte Waregem — Club Brugge1:2
  • 05.08.2022Club Brugge — Zulte Waregem1:1
  • 12.12.2021Club Brugge — Zulte Waregem3:0

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions LeagueGent871015–4+1122
2, Champions League qualifyingClub Brugge870119–4+1521
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueSporting Charleroi870116–7+921
7Genk833216–12+412
8Zulte Waregem832310–9+111
9Standard Liège832313–13011

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →