VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
AKM — Chelmet Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
AKM are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- AKM are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: AKM — No. 6, 19 pts; Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 8 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: AKM 3 wins, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AKM — Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 2.8–2.5 | |
| AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap AKM
- AKM goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:3
- 10.10Orsk3:0
- 05.10away · Perm0:3
- 03.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:0
- 01.10away · Izhevsk3:4 OT
- 12.10away · Ryazan0:8
- 04.10Bars3:4
- 02.10Almetyevsk4:2
- 30.09CSK VVS4:5 OT
- 24.09away · Khimik0:6
Head to head
- 26.02.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — AKM2:1
- 16.09.2025AKM — Chelmet Chelyabinsk5:4 OT
- 13.01.2025AKM — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:4
- 08.11.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — AKM1:3
- 04.02.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — AKM1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 11 | 3 | -24 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- 50502The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:3.5.0
- 65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 126%Model's score: 2:13.4
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →