Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Aktobe — Kulager
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Kulager are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- Kulager are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aktobe — Kulager | 2.1–3.5 | |
| Aktobe to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 25% | |
| Kulager to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 75% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Aktobe
- Aktobe goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Beibarys Atyrau2:1
- 12.10Beibarys Atyrau2:1
- 08.10away · Pavlodar6:0
- 07.10away · Pavlodar5:2
- 03.10away · Gornyak Rudny1:7
- 11.10Karaganda2:1 SO
- 10.10Karaganda1:3
- 07.10Kokshetau3:4
- 06.10Kokshetau3:4
- 02.10away · Nomad Astana4:5 SO
Head to head
- 02.09.2026Kulager — Aktobe3:2 OT
- 01.09.2026Kulager — Aktobe6:2
- 12.01.2026Kulager — Aktobe4:1
- 11.01.2026Kulager — Aktobe5:4 SO
- 11.10.2025Kulager — Aktobe2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Karaganda | 18 | 11 | +29 | 24 |
| 6, Playoffs | Kulager | 18 | 9 | +12 | 22 |
| 7, Playoffs | Almaty | 18 | 9 | -8 | 18 |
| 8, Playoffs | Aktobe | 18 | 4 | -38 | 9 |
| 9 | Beibarys Atyrau | 18 | 3 | -21 | 8 |
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- 22782The model's most likely outcome: 218%Model's score: 1:45.5
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:26.0
- 9911The model's most likely outcome: 12%Model's score: 7:18.5
- 16842The model's most likely outcome: 215%Model's score: 1:45.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →