Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Kokshetau — Pavlodar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Kokshetau are clear favourites: 99% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 8.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 87%.
Why
- Kokshetau are more dangerous in attack: 7.3 expected goals against 1.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kokshetau — Pavlodar | 7.3–1.2 | |
| Kokshetau to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 99% | |
| Pavlodar to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 1% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 87% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 13% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kokshetau
- Kokshetau goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Nomad Astana2:4
- 10.10Nomad Astana3:2 OT
- 07.10away · Kulager4:3
- 06.10away · Kulager4:3
- 03.10Almaty3:2
- 12.10away · Torpedo0:8
- 11.10away · Torpedo0:13
- 08.10Aktobe0:6
- 07.10Aktobe2:5
- 02.10away · Karaganda0:9
Head to head
- 28.09.2026Kokshetau — Pavlodar5:3
- 27.09.2026Kokshetau — Pavlodar11:2
- 11.02.2026Kokshetau — Pavlodar9:2
- 10.02.2026Kokshetau — Pavlodar11:0
- 10.12.2025Pavlodar — Kokshetau1:10
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Torpedo | 18 | 13 | +52 | 28 |
| 3, Playoffs | Kokshetau | 18 | 13 | +21 | 27 |
| 4, Playoffs | Gornyak Rudny | 18 | 12 | +27 | 25 |
| 9 | Beibarys Atyrau | 18 | 3 | -21 | 8 |
| 10 | Pavlodar | 18 | 0 | -121 | 1 |
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- 25752The model's most likely outcome: 218%Model's score: 1:45.6
- 22782The model's most likely outcome: 218%Model's score: 1:45.5
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:26.0
- 16842The model's most likely outcome: 215%Model's score: 1:45.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 98% will not happen in roughly 2 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →