Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Karaganda — Gornyak Rudny
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Karaganda are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.
Why
- Karaganda are more dangerous in attack: 3.6 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Karaganda — Gornyak Rudny | 3.6–2.4 | |
| Karaganda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 70% | |
| Gornyak Rudny to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 30% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 61% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Karaganda
- Karaganda goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Kulager1:2 SO
- 10.10away · Kulager3:1
- 07.10away · Gornyak Rudny4:1
- 06.10away · Gornyak Rudny3:5
- 02.10Pavlodar9:0
- 12.10away · Almaty2:5
- 11.10away · Almaty3:0
- 07.10Karaganda1:4
- 06.10Karaganda5:3
- 03.10Aktobe7:1
Head to head
- 07.10.2026Gornyak Rudny — Karaganda1:4
- 06.10.2026Gornyak Rudny — Karaganda5:3
- 06.03.2026Karaganda — Gornyak Rudny3:2 OT
- 03.03.2026Gornyak Rudny — Karaganda1:4
- 01.03.2026Gornyak Rudny — Karaganda3:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | Kokshetau | 18 | 13 | +21 | 27 |
| 4, Playoffs | Gornyak Rudny | 18 | 12 | +27 | 25 |
| 5, Playoffs | Karaganda | 18 | 11 | +29 | 24 |
| 6, Playoffs | Kulager | 18 | 9 | +12 | 22 |
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- 25752The model's most likely outcome: 218%Model's score: 1:45.6
- 22782The model's most likely outcome: 218%Model's score: 1:45.5
- 9911The model's most likely outcome: 12%Model's score: 7:18.5
- 16842The model's most likely outcome: 215%Model's score: 1:45.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →