Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Ambri-Piotta — Servette
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Ambri-Piotta 48%, Servette 52% including overtime.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Ambri-Piotta — No. 8, 15 pts; Servette — No. 2, 21 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Servette: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Ambri-Piotta 3 wins, Servette 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ambri-Piotta — Servette | 2.6–2.7 | |
| Ambri-Piotta to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ambri-Piotta
- Ambri-Piotta goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Bern1:2 OT
- 03.10away · Fribourg2:1
- 01.10Langnau Tigers1:5
- 29.09Davos0:3
- 26.09away · Lugano5:3
Head to head
- 26.01.2026Servette — Ambri-Piotta3:4 OT
- 04.12.2025Ambri-Piotta — Servette5:2
- 24.10.2025Ambri-Piotta — Servette5:2
- 23.09.2025Servette — Ambri-Piotta5:4
- 21.02.2025Servette — Ambri-Piotta4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zurich | 10 | 7 | +18 | 27 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Servette | 11 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Langnau Tigers | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 11 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bern | 9 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
National League on the same day
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →