DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Augsburger Panther — Adler Mannheim

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Model prediction for 16 October

Augsburger Panther29%
Draw in regulation20%
Adler Mannheim51%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Adler Mannheim are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Adler Mannheim are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Augsburger Panther — Adler Mannheim2.5–3.2
Augsburger Panther to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

Augsburger Panther

  • 11.10away · Krefeld Pinguine2:1
  • 09.10Bremerhaven3:0
  • 04.10away · Munchen2:4
  • 02.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:2
  • 27.09Kolner4:6

Adler Mannheim

  • 11.10Straubing Tigers2:1
  • 09.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers5:2
  • 04.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg1:4
  • 01.10Iserlohn Roosters6:1
  • 27.09away · ERC Ingolstadt2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 25.02.2026Adler Mannheim — Augsburger Panther3:4 OT
  • 28.12.2025Augsburger Panther — Adler Mannheim2:3 SO
  • 07.12.2025Adler Mannheim — Augsburger Panther7:0
  • 14.09.2025Augsburger Panther — Adler Mannheim3:6
  • 16.02.2025Augsburger Panther — Adler Mannheim1:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin8610131–12+1920
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →