DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Frankfurt Lowen — Straubing Tigers

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Model prediction for 16 October

Frankfurt Lowen29%
Draw in regulation21%
Straubing Tigers50%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Straubing Tigers are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Straubing Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Frankfurt Lowen — No. 10, 9 pts; Straubing Tigers — No. 5, 14 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Frankfurt Lowen 0 wins, Straubing Tigers 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frankfurt Lowen — Straubing Tigers2.5–3.1
Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Straubing Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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Form

Frankfurt Lowen

  • 11.10away · ERC Ingolstadt3:2 SO
  • 08.10Krefeld Pinguine2:5
  • 04.10away · Bremerhaven1:2
  • 02.10Eisbaren Berlin0:2
  • 27.09away · Munchen4:1

Straubing Tigers

  • 11.10away · Adler Mannheim1:2
  • 09.10Iserlohn Roosters11:4
  • 04.10away · Schwenninger4:2
  • 02.10Bremerhaven4:3
  • 27.09away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers3:2 SO

Head to head

  • 23.01.2026Straubing Tigers — Frankfurt Lowen5:4
  • 14.12.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Straubing Tigers3:7
  • 30.11.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Straubing Tigers1:3
  • 14.09.2025Straubing Tigers — Frankfurt Lowen2:1
  • 11.03.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Straubing Tigers0:1

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen8411225–24+115
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19
11ERC Ingolstadt8211421–28-79

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →