DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Eisbaren Berlin — Munchen

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Model prediction for 16 October

Eisbaren Berlin45%
Draw in regulation21%
Munchen33%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Eisbaren Berlin are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Eisbaren Berlin are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Eisbaren Berlin — Munchen3.0–2.6
Eisbaren Berlin to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Munchen to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Eisbaren Berlin
  • Eisbaren Berlin goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Eisbaren Berlin

  • 11.10away · Bremerhaven3:0
  • 09.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:0
  • 04.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:1
  • 02.10away · Frankfurt Lowen2:0
  • 27.09Iserlohn Roosters4:0

Munchen

  • 11.10away · Schwenninger4:3
  • 09.10ERC Ingolstadt1:5
  • 04.10Augsburger Panther4:2
  • 02.10away · Kolner4:2
  • 27.09Frankfurt Lowen1:4

Head to head

  • 15.03.2026Eisbaren Berlin — Munchen5:1
  • 06.01.2026Munchen — Eisbaren Berlin2:3
  • 21.11.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Munchen1:3
  • 23.10.2025Munchen — Eisbaren Berlin3:2
  • 28.02.2025Munchen — Eisbaren Berlin2:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin8610131–12+1920
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen8411225–24+115
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →