DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Bremerhaven — Nurnberg Ice Tigers

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Model prediction for 16 October

Bremerhaven50%
Draw in regulation21%
Nurnberg Ice Tigers29%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Bremerhaven are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Bremerhaven are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bremerhaven — Nurnberg Ice Tigers3.0–2.4
Bremerhaven to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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  • Bremerhaven goals
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Form

Bremerhaven

  • 11.10Eisbaren Berlin0:3
  • 09.10away · Augsburger Panther0:3
  • 04.10Frankfurt Lowen2:1
  • 02.10away · Straubing Tigers3:4
  • 27.09away · Grizzly Wolfsburg2:3

Nurnberg Ice Tigers

  • 11.10away · Kolner2:4
  • 09.10Adler Mannheim2:5
  • 04.10away · Eisbaren Berlin1:4
  • 02.10Schwenninger5:0
  • 27.09Straubing Tigers2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 20.03.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Bremerhaven2:3
  • 17.03.2026Bremerhaven — Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:0
  • 13.03.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Bremerhaven4:6
  • 09.01.2026Bremerhaven — Nurnberg Ice Tigers3:1
  • 21.11.2025Bremerhaven — Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:5

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen8411225–24+115
11ERC Ingolstadt8211421–28-79
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →