VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 23 October, 18:30 MSK

Bars — CSK VVS

Model prediction for 23 October

Bars44%

Draw in regulation23%

CSK VVS33%

Model estimate at 03:00 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bars are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

Bars are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bars — CSK VVS		2.5–2.1
Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout)		56%
CSK VVS to win (incl. OT and shootout)		44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Bars
Bars goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Bars

12.10Zvezda Moscow5:2
10.10Khimik2:1
06.10away · Gornyak3:2
04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
02.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4

CSK VVS

12.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:5
10.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:5
08.10Zvezda Moscow2:3
06.10Khimik2:8
02.10away · Gornyak2:5

Head to head

07.03.2026CSK VVS — Bars4:2
29.10.2025Bars — CSK VVS2:1 OT
15.03.2025CSK VVS — Bars2:5
10.09.2024Bars — CSK VVS4:5 SO
26.01.2024CSK VVS — Bars3:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
13, Playoffs	Gornyak	10	7	1	2	29–18	+11	15
14, Playoffs	Bars	14	7	1	6	35–44	-9	15
15, Playoffs	Kristall Saratov	12	7	1	4	31–41	-10	15
26	Kurgan	12	3	4	5	19–33	-14	10
27	CSK VVS	16	4	1	11	31–56	-25	9
28	Izhevsk	13	3	2	8	29–40	-11	8

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

16:30
Chelmet ChelyabinskHC Norilskpreliminary
6139
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
16:30
OrskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary
2971
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.1
17:00
Magnitka MagnitogorskKrasnoyarskpreliminary
7030
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
17:30
Kristall SaratovBuran Voronezhpreliminary
4654
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
19:00
DizelTambovpreliminary
6337
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →