VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Kristall Saratov — Buran Voronezh

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Model prediction for 23 October

Kristall Saratov36%
Draw in regulation22%
Buran Voronezh42%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Buran Voronezh are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kristall Saratov — Buran Voronezh2.4–2.6
Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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Form

Kristall Saratov

  • 13.10away · Omskie Krylia1:7
  • 07.10Dyn. Altay5:4 SO
  • 05.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 03.10Krasnoyarsk3:2
  • 01.10HC Norilsk2:3 SO

Buran Voronezh

  • 13.10away · HC Yugra1:0
  • 11.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:4 SO
  • 09.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
  • 07.10away · Omskie Krylia1:0
  • 01.10Dyn. Altay4:2

Head to head

  • 22.12.2025Kristall Saratov — Buran Voronezh3:4 SO
  • 20.11.2025Buran Voronezh — Kristall Saratov5:4 SO
  • 11.01.2025Buran Voronezh — Kristall Saratov5:6 SO
  • 07.11.2024Kristall Saratov — Buran Voronezh5:2
  • 18.02.2024Kristall Saratov — Buran Voronezh2:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsAlmetyevsk15110444–30+1422
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
3, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia13100337–19+1820
14, PlayoffsBars1471635–44-915
15, PlayoffsKristall Saratov1271431–41-1015
16, PlayoffsMagnitka Magnitogorsk1154224–20+414

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →