VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Dizel — Tambov

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Model prediction for 23 October

Dizel50%
Draw in regulation22%
Tambov28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dizel are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

  • Dizel are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dizel — Tambov2.6–2.0
Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)65%

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Form

Dizel

  • 13.10away · Kurgan3:4
  • 11.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3
  • 05.10Dyn. Altay3:1
  • 03.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 01.10Krasnoyarsk2:0

Tambov

  • 13.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:3 OT
  • 11.10away · Kurgan3:0
  • 09.10away · Omskie Krylia1:5
  • 03.10Dyn. Altay2:0
  • 01.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:0

Head to head

  • 20.12.2025Dizel — Tambov3:5
  • 18.11.2025Tambov — Dizel2:4
  • 11.01.2025Tambov — Dizel4:3
  • 11.11.2024Dizel — Tambov2:3 OT
  • 06.02.2024Tambov — Dizel6:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, PlayoffsPerm1280430–23+716
12, PlayoffsTambov1372434–34016
13, PlayoffsGornyak1071229–18+1115
21HC Yugra1260620–18+212
22Dizel1352629–31-212
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →