VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Krasnoyarsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitka Magnitogorsk are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.
Why
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Krasnoyarsk | 2.6–1.6 | |
| Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 70% | |
| Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 30% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 30% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 70% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Magnitka Magnitogorsk
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · AKM3:2
- 10.10away · Ryazan3:4 SO
- 02.10Bars4:2
- 30.09Almetyevsk1:2 OT
- 28.09CSK VVS3:0
- 13.10Toros Neftekamsk2:0
- 11.10Izhevsk3:2
- 09.10Olympia3:4
- 03.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
- 01.10away · Dizel0:2
Head to head
- 02.02.2026Krasnoyarsk — Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:2
- 16.10.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Krasnoyarsk4:1
- 14.03.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Krasnoyarsk1:0
- 06.09.2024Krasnoyarsk — Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 13 | 3 | -11 | 8 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 11 | 3 | -24 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskHC Norilskpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- OrskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary29712The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.1
- Kristall SaratovBuran Voronezhpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- BarsCSK VVSpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- DizelTambovpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →