KHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Barys Astana — Yekaterinburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Yekaterinburg are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- Yekaterinburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barys Astana — Yekaterinburg | 2.2–2.6 | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Barys Astana
- Barys Astana goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 12.10Novosibirsk2:3
- 10.10Avangard Omsk5:1
- 04.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 02.10away · Niznekamsk5:4 OT
- 30.09away · Bars Kazan1:4
- 06.10Avangard Omsk4:0
- 04.10Khabarovsk0:3
- 02.10Khabarovsk3:0
- 30.09Lada3:1
- 26.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
Head to head
- 12.01.2026Yekaterinburg — Barys Astana2:1 OT
- 25.12.2025Barys Astana — Yekaterinburg1:4
- 16.12.2025Yekaterinburg — Barys Astana1:4
- 07.11.2025Barys Astana — Yekaterinburg3:2 OT
- 07.01.2025Barys Astana — Yekaterinburg2:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 14 | 8 | +14 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8
- 65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.2
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →