KHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Platinum Arena
Khabarovsk — Spartak Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:2Came true
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Spartak Moscow to win (57% incl. overtime), came true.
Spartak Moscow are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- Khabarovsk: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Khabarovsk 1 win, Spartak Moscow 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Khabarovsk — Spartak Moscow | 2.2–2.5 | |
| Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Khabarovsk
- Khabarovsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Lada1:0
- 08.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:0
- 06.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 04.10away · Yekaterinburg3:0
- 02.10away · Yekaterinburg0:3
- 09.10away · Sochi2:0
- 07.10away · Sochi5:2
- 04.10Barys Astana3:4 SO
- 02.10Magnitogorsk0:2
- 30.09Tractor Chelyabinsk2:4
Head to head
- 13.03.2026Spartak Moscow — Khabarovsk1:0 OT
- 15.10.2025Khabarovsk — Spartak Moscow4:3
- 20.11.2024Spartak Moscow — Khabarovsk7:3
- 19.10.2024Khabarovsk — Spartak Moscow4:5
- 24.10.2023Khabarovsk — Spartak Moscow1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 13 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 15 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 16 | 8 | -3 | 17 |
Next matches
- VladivostokSpartak Moscow16 October · KHL41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- KhabarovskSalavat Ufa17 October · KHL44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
KHL on the same day
- 66341The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%2:4Final score 2:4. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:4.4.9
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 123%1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.4.2
- 41592The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:6Final score 2:6. Model's score: 2:4.5.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →