KHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow

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Model prediction for 14 October

CSKA Moscow47%
Draw in regulation23%
Dynamo Moscow30%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

CSKA Moscow are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 29%.

Why

  • CSKA Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow2.3–1.9
CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)29%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)71%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap CSKA Moscow
  • CSKA Moscow goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

CSKA Moscow

  • 09.10away · Dynamo Moscow5:2
  • 05.10Salavat Ufa3:1
  • 03.10Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
  • 01.10away · Dinamo Minsk4:1
  • 29.09SKA St. Petersburg6:5

Dynamo Moscow

  • 11.10SKA St. Petersburg4:3 OT
  • 09.10CSKA Moscow2:5
  • 07.10Shanghai2:3
  • 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
  • 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow2:5
  • 03.10.2026CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
  • 28.01.2026Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow2:4
  • 30.12.2025CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow5:1
  • 21.12.2025CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow0:1 SO

Full record: 71 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceMagnitogorsk16121351–30+2125
2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCSKA Moscow14110349–27+2222
3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceLokomotiv Yaroslavl14110338–23+1522
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg1362534–32+214
16Dynamo Moscow1662833–46-1314
17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok1453635–39-413

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →