Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Ceske Budejovice — Karlovy Vary
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ceske Budejovice are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Ceske Budejovice — No. 6, 16 pts; Karlovy Vary — No. 3, 18 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Ceske Budejovice 1 win, Karlovy Vary 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ceske Budejovice — Karlovy Vary | 2.4–2.2 | |
| Ceske Budejovice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Karlovy Vary to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ceske Budejovice
- Ceske Budejovice goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Liberec4:3
- 08.10away · Plzen1:4
- 05.10Kometa Brno5:1
- 01.10away · Sparta Prague2:4
- 29.09away · Pardubice2:5
- 11.10Kladno3:1
- 09.10away · Liberec0:5
- 04.10Plzen4:1
- 02.10away · Vitkovice3:0
- 28.09away · Sparta Prague1:0
Head to head
- 25.09.2026Karlovy Vary — Ceske Budejovice5:1
- 27.01.2026Ceske Budejovice — Karlovy Vary3:6
- 23.12.2025Karlovy Vary — Ceske Budejovice1:0
- 31.10.2025Ceske Budejovice — Karlovy Vary3:2
- 23.09.2025Karlovy Vary — Ceske Budejovice3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mountfield HK | 10 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ceske Budejovice | 10 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kladno | 10 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- PardubiceMlada Boleslavpreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:15.0
- LiberecMountfield HKpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Sparta PragueLitvinovpreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
- PlzenKladnopreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Kometa BrnoOlomoucpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:15.0
- VitkoviceTrinecpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →