VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Norilsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Chelmet Chelyabinsk are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Norilsk | 2.9–2.3 | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| HC Norilsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chelmet Chelyabinsk
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Ryazan0:8
- 04.10Bars3:4
- 02.10Almetyevsk4:2
- 30.09CSK VVS4:5 OT
- 24.09away · Khimik0:6
- 12.10Perm3:1
- 10.10Toros Neftekamsk5:3
- 08.10Izhevsk3:2
- 06.10Olympia3:2
- 01.10away · Kristall Saratov3:2 SO
Head to head
- 03.02.2026HC Norilsk — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:3
- 16.10.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Norilsk1:3
- 16.03.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Norilsk4:1
- 08.09.2024HC Norilsk — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:2
- 14.12.2023HC Norilsk — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 11 | 3 | -24 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- OrskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary29712The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.1
- Magnitka MagnitogorskKrasnoyarskpreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
- Kristall SaratovBuran Voronezhpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- BarsCSK VVSpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- DizelTambovpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →