KHL · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Ice Palace
Cherepovets — SKA St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Cherepovets to win (51% incl. overtime), came true.
Close to a coin flip: Cherepovets 51%, SKA St. Petersburg 49% including overtime.
5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.
Facts
- Cherepovets: 4 wins in a row; SKA St. Petersburg: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Cherepovets 2 wins, SKA St. Petersburg 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cherepovets — SKA St. Petersburg | 2.7–2.7 | |
| Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Cherepovets
- Cherepovets goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 10.10away · Bars Kazan4:1
- 08.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2
- 06.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:2
- 03.10Shanghai2:1 OT
- 01.10Vladivostok3:4 SO
- 11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
- 08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
- 06.10Cherepovets2:5
- 03.10Vladivostok6:5 SO
- 29.09away · CSKA Moscow5:6
Head to head
- 06.10.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Cherepovets2:5
- 13.03.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Cherepovets5:0
- 18.02.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Cherepovets2:3 SO
- 05.02.2026Cherepovets — SKA St. Petersburg1:3
- 26.11.2025Cherepovets — SKA St. Petersburg4:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 15 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
Next matches
- LadaSKA St. Petersburg15 October · KHL31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
- CherepovetsLokomotiv Yaroslavl15 October · KHL42582The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →