KHL · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Cherepovets — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 29%.
Why
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cherepovets — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 2.0–2.3 | |
| Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 29% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 71% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Cherepovets
- Cherepovets goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 13.10SKA St. Petersburg2:0
- 10.10away · Bars Kazan4:1
- 08.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2
- 06.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:2
- 03.10Shanghai2:1 OT
- 10.10Dinamo Minsk6:1
- 05.10away · Bars Kazan2:0
- 03.10away · Dinamo Minsk3:4
- 30.09Novosibirsk3:1
- 27.09away · Novosibirsk2:1
Head to head
- 10.09.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Cherepovets2:1 OT
- 09.03.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Cherepovets4:3 OT
- 02.03.2026Cherepovets — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:3 SO
- 28.11.2025Cherepovets — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:0
- 13.10.2025Cherepovets — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
KHL on the same day
- 31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →