KHL · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Lada — SKA St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
SKA St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- SKA St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Lada — No. 22, 6 pts; SKA St. Petersburg — No. 9, 17 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Lada: 5 defeats in a row; SKA St. Petersburg: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Lada 0 wins, SKA St. Petersburg 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lada — SKA St. Petersburg | 2.2–3.2 | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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Form
- 12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
- 05.10Shanghai0:5
- 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
- 30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3
- 13.10away · Cherepovets0:2
- 11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
- 08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
- 06.10Cherepovets2:5
- 03.10Vladivostok6:5 SO
Head to head
- 09.09.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Lada2:1 OT
- 05.09.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Lada4:3 OT
- 12.01.2026Lada — SKA St. Petersburg3:4 SO
- 07.01.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Lada5:4 OT
- 21.09.2025Lada — SKA St. Petersburg0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 15 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →