AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Coachella Valley Firebirds — Tucson Roadrunners
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Coachella Valley Firebirds are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Coachella Valley Firebirds are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Coachella Valley Firebirds — No. 10, 6 pts; Tucson Roadrunners — No. 19, 4 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Coachella Valley Firebirds 3 wins, Tucson Roadrunners 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coachella Valley Firebirds — Tucson Roadrunners | 3.1–2.7 | |
| Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Tucson Roadrunners to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Coachella Valley Firebirds
- Coachella Valley Firebirds goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10Ontario Reign2:3 OT
- 10.10San Diego Gulls6:3
- 04.10away · Ontario Reign6:2
- 03.10Ontario Reign5:6 OT
- 21.05away · Colorado Eagles2:3
- 11.10away · San Jose Barracuda4:1
- 10.10away · San Jose Barracuda7:4
- 05.10Colorado Eagles3:5
- 04.10Colorado Eagles0:2
- 19.04Henderson Silver Knights5:4
Head to head
- 16.02.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Tucson Roadrunners2:3
- 14.02.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Tucson Roadrunners6:1
- 09.11.2025Tucson Roadrunners — Coachella Valley Firebirds4:3 OT
- 08.11.2025Tucson Roadrunners — Coachella Valley Firebirds2:4
- 20.02.2025Coachella Valley Firebirds — Tucson Roadrunners5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 10 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 4 | 2 | +5 | 6 | .750 |
| 11 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 5 | 3 | +4 | 7 | .700 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- Rochester AmericansHershey Bearspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
- Milwaukee AdmiralsManitoba Moosepreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- Colorado EaglesCharlotte Checkerspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Henderson Silver KnightsOntario Reignpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
- San Jose BarracudaAbbotsford Canuckspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →