AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Milwaukee Admirals — Manitoba Moose

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Model prediction for 29 October

Milwaukee Admirals43%
Draw in regulation22%
Manitoba Moose35%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Milwaukee Admirals are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Milwaukee Admirals — Manitoba Moose2.7–2.5
Milwaukee Admirals to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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Form

Milwaukee Admirals

  • 11.10Grand Rapids Griffins4:1
  • 04.10away · Rockford IceHogs3:1
  • 26.04away · Manitoba Moose1:2
  • 25.04away · Manitoba Moose1:2
  • 23.04away · Manitoba Moose4:1

Manitoba Moose

  • 11.10away · Chicago Wolves6:1
  • 10.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:2
  • 04.10Chicago Wolves8:3
  • 03.10Chicago Wolves3:0
  • 09.05away · Grand Rapids Griffins2:5

Head to head

  • 26.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Milwaukee Admirals2:1
  • 25.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Milwaukee Admirals2:1
  • 23.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Milwaukee Admirals1:4
  • 09.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Milwaukee Admirals0:7
  • 08.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Milwaukee Admirals4:3

Full record: 27 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Utica Comets33008–4+461.000
2Milwaukee Admirals22007–2+541.000
3Manitoba Moose430118–6+126.750
4Laval Rocket430116–7+96.750

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →