NHL · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets — Pittsburgh Penguins
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2 SOMissed
In short
Final score 3:2 SO: the model's most likely outcome, Pittsburgh Penguins to win (53% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.
Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 67%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 3.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Columbus Blue Jackets — Pittsburgh Penguins | 3.1–3.3 | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 67% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 33% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Columbus Blue Jackets
- Columbus Blue Jackets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 04.10Utah Mammoth1:4
- 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3
- 15.04Washington Capitals1:2
- 13.04Boston Bruins2:3
- 12.04away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
- 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
- 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10Montreal Canadiens6:5 OT
- 01.10away · Philadelphia Flyers7:0
- 30.04away · Philadelphia Flyers0:1 OT
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Columbus Blue Jackets3:4 SO
- 04.01.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — Pittsburgh Penguins4:5 OT
- 29.11.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Pittsburgh Penguins3:4 OT
- 26.10.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Columbus Blue Jackets4:5 SO
- 22.03.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Columbus Blue Jackets6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
Next matches
- St. Louis BluesColumbus Blue Jackets11 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- Pittsburgh PenguinsDallas Stars11 October · NHL41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%2:1SOFinal score 2:1 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
NHL on the same day
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 4:1.5.2
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 124%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.2
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 124%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →