NHL · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals — New York Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Washington Capitals to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.
Washington Capitals are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Washington Capitals are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — New York Rangers | 2.7–2.5 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
- 03.10away · Carolina Hurricanes5:2
- 15.04away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:1
- 12.04Pittsburgh Penguins3:0
- 07.10New York Islanders5:2
- 05.10Utah Mammoth4:2
- 03.10away · Detroit Red Wings2:0
- 02.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:1
- 30.09away · Boston Bruins0:3
Head to head
- 06.04.2026New York Rangers — Washington Capitals8:1
- 31.12.2025Washington Capitals — New York Rangers6:3
- 24.12.2025Washington Capitals — New York Rangers3:7
- 13.10.2025New York Rangers — Washington Capitals0:1
- 06.03.2025New York Rangers — Washington Capitals2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
Next matches
- Washington CapitalsSeattle Kraken12 October · NHL60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- New York RangersVancouver Canucks12 October · NHL69311The most likely outcome came true: 121%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
NHL on the same day
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2SOFinal score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:5.6.3
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 4:1.5.2
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 124%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →