NHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Dallas Stars — Montreal Canadiens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dallas Stars are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Dallas Stars — No. 25, 5 pts; Montreal Canadiens — No. 18, 7 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Dallas Stars 3 wins, Montreal Canadiens 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dallas Stars — Montreal Canadiens | 2.8–2.5 | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dallas Stars
- Dallas Stars goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10Colorado Avalanche2:3
- 11.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins1:2 SO
- 09.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:0
- 06.10San Jose Sharks5:0
- 04.10away · Nashville Predators1:2
- 14.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 11.10Detroit Red Wings1:0 SO
- 09.10Nashville Predators2:5
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 04.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins5:6 OT
Head to head
- 04.01.2026Dallas Stars — Montreal Canadiens3:4 OT
- 14.11.2025Montreal Canadiens — Dallas Stars0:7
- 17.01.2025Dallas Stars — Montreal Canadiens1:3
- 12.01.2025Montreal Canadiens — Dallas Stars1:2 SO
- 10.02.2024Montreal Canadiens — Dallas Stars2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- Carolina HurricanesColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Pittsburgh PenguinsUtah Mammothpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:56.0
- Tampa Bay LightningWinnipeg Jetspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Detroit Red WingsChicago Blackhawkspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Minnesota WildNew York Islanderspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Nashville PredatorsWashington Capitalspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- St. Louis BluesBoston Bruinspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Anaheim DucksBuffalo Sabrespreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:56.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →