NHL · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK · American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars — San Jose Sharks
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5:0Came true
In short
Final score 5:0: the model's most likely outcome, Dallas Stars to win (67% incl. overtime), came true.
Dallas Stars are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dallas Stars — San Jose Sharks | 3.3–2.4 | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dallas Stars
- Dallas Stars goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.10away · Nashville Predators1:2
- 03.10St. Louis Blues0:4
- 01.05away · Minnesota Wild2:5
- 29.04Minnesota Wild2:4
- 26.04away · Minnesota Wild2:3 OT
- 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT
- 02.10Florida Panthers4:3 OT
- 17.04away · Winnipeg Jets6:1
- 16.04away · Chicago Blackhawks2:5
- 14.04away · Nashville Predators3:2
Head to head
- 11.01.2026San Jose Sharks — Dallas Stars5:4 OT
- 19.12.2025San Jose Sharks — Dallas Stars3:5
- 06.12.2025Dallas Stars — San Jose Sharks4:1
- 09.02.2025San Jose Sharks — Dallas Stars3:8
- 21.11.2024Dallas Stars — San Jose Sharks5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
Next matches
- Buffalo SabresDallas Stars9 October · NHL50501The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%0:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- St. Louis BluesSan Jose Sharks9 October · NHL60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
NHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 124%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 4:1, exactly right.5.1
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 224%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:4, exactly right.5.3
- 66341The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →