NHL · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK · PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins — Winnipeg Jets
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:3Missed
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Pittsburgh Penguins to win (66% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 66% fails in about 34 matches out of 100 on average.
Pittsburgh Penguins are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.
Why
- Pittsburgh Penguins are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.6.
- Winnipeg Jets: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins — Winnipeg Jets | 3.5–2.6 | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 62% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 38% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Pittsburgh Penguins
- Pittsburgh Penguins goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.10Montreal Canadiens6:5 OT
- 01.10away · Philadelphia Flyers7:0
- 30.04away · Philadelphia Flyers0:1 OT
- 28.04Philadelphia Flyers3:2
- 26.04away · Philadelphia Flyers4:2
- 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
- 03.10Boston Bruins3:4 OT
- 17.04San Jose Sharks1:6
- 15.04away · Utah Mammoth3:5
- 14.04away · Vegas Golden Knights2:6
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Winnipeg Jets5:4 SO
- 01.11.2025Winnipeg Jets — Pittsburgh Penguins5:2
- 23.11.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — Winnipeg Jets1:4
- 20.10.2024Winnipeg Jets — Pittsburgh Penguins6:3
- 11.02.2024Winnipeg Jets — Pittsburgh Penguins2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 6 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 5 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
Next matches
- Washington CapitalsPittsburgh Penguins8 October · NHL52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- Winnipeg JetsColorado Avalanche8 October · NHL34662The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 124%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 4:1, exactly right.5.1
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 224%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:4, exactly right.5.3
- 67331The most likely outcome came true: 121%5:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →