NHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Detroit Red Wings — Chicago Blackhawks

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Model prediction for 30 October

Detroit Red Wings48%
Draw in regulation23%
Chicago Blackhawks29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Detroit Red Wings are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Detroit Red Wings are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Detroit Red Wings — No. 27, 4 pts; Chicago Blackhawks — No. 29, 4 pts.
  • Detroit Red Wings: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Detroit Red Wings 4 wins, Chicago Blackhawks 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — Chicago Blackhawks2.9–2.4
Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Detroit Red Wings

  • 14.10New Jersey Devils4:5 OT
  • 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
  • 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
  • 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
  • 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 14.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
  • 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
  • 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
  • 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
  • 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4

Head to head

  • 14.12.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Detroit Red Wings0:4
  • 09.11.2025Detroit Red Wings — Chicago Blackhawks1:5
  • 11.01.2025Detroit Red Wings — Chicago Blackhawks5:3
  • 07.11.2024Chicago Blackhawks — Detroit Red Wings1:4
  • 26.02.2024Chicago Blackhawks — Detroit Red Wings2:3 OT

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
26Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →