VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
HC Yugra — Tambov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
HC Yugra are clear favourites: 78% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.
Why
- HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.4.
Facts
- League table: HC Yugra — No. 21, 12 pts; Tambov — No. 13, 16 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: HC Yugra 4 wins, Tambov 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: HC Yugra — Tambov | 2.9–1.4 | |
| HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 78% | |
| Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 22% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 30% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 70% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap HC Yugra
- HC Yugra goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
- 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
- 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4
- 21.09away · Dyn. Altay0:2
- 13.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:3 OT
- 11.10away · Kurgan3:0
- 09.10away · Omskie Krylia1:5
- 03.10Dyn. Altay2:0
- 01.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:0
Head to head
- 16.02.2026HC Yugra — Tambov1:0
- 09.10.2025Tambov — HC Yugra3:2 SO
- 09.12.2024Tambov — HC Yugra3:4 OT
- 29.11.2024HC Yugra — Tambov4:2
- 07.03.2024HC Yugra — Tambov2:0
Table
VHL on the same day
- 50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- 77231The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →